Finance Blog number 1

May 30, 2011

N.Z. Dollar Touches Record Versus Greenback on Export Data; Aussie Slips - Bloomberg

Filed under: marketing, news — Tags: , , , — Sun @ 12:12 pm

New Zealand’s dollar reached its highest level since exchange-rate controls ended in 1985 after a report showed the nation’s trade surplus widened by almost twice economists’ estimates to a record in April.

The so-called kiwi has risen 8.8 percent against the greenback since Feb. 25, the second-best performer among 16 major counterparts, as Asian demand drove up prices for New Zealand’s milk, lumber and meat exports. Australia’s dollar touched a three-month low against its New Zealand counterpart amid signs the bigger nation’s economy is cooling.

“Resilience of the kiwi has been very impressive,” said Mitul Kotecha, Hong Kong-based head of global foreign-exchange strategy at Credit Agricole CIB, a unit of France’s second- biggest bank. “The numbers today from New Zealand are obviously helping out as the trade data was far stronger than the market had expected.”

The kiwi rose to as high as 82.19 U.S. cents before trading at 81.78 cents as of 3:41 p.m. in Sydney. It closed at 81.92 U.S. cents in New York on May 27. The previous record of 82.14 U.S. cents was established in February 2008.

Australia’s dollar was at $1.0684 from $1.0706 on May 27 in New York, after earlier rising to $1.0737, the highest since May 11. The currency was at NZ$1.3066 from NZ$1.3058 after touching NZ$1.3019, the weakest level since Feb. 2. The Aussie fell to 86.30 yen from 86.49 yen.

Commodities Driving Surplus

The New Zealand dollar’s gain makes its exports more expensive, hampering the nation’s economic recovery from two earthquakes in the South Island city of Christchurch that killed more than 180 people and caused an estimated NZ$15 billion in reconstruction costs. Prime Minister John Key told reporters in Wellington today that the kiwi was trading at “unsustainable levels” for non-commodity exporters.

The exchange rate was “more bearable” for the commodity sector because of high export prices, he said.

Exports outpaced imports by NZ$1.11 billion ($908 million) from a revised NZ$578 million surplus in March, Statistics New Zealand said today in Wellington. The median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of economists was for a NZ$600 million surplus.

Prices of New Zealand’s commodity exports gained for an eighth month to a record in April, according to an index calculated by ANZ National Bank Ltd. Exports to China, New Zealand’s second-biggest export market after Australia, surged 42 percent to NZ$5.39 billion in the year ended March 31, government figures showed.

‘Rising Incomes’

“Rising incomes in the Asian region will generate a long- run demand for agricultural commodities, with the New Zealand economy better placed than most” as a supplier, Richard Grace, chief currency strategist and head of international economics at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, wrote in a note to clients May 27. “These developments will be reflected in a higher New Zealand dollar.”

The Aussie halted its two-day gain against the greenback as the statistics bureau in Sydney said that gross operating profits at companies declined 2 percent in the first quarter from the previous three months, when they dropped a revised 1.7 percent.

Weaker GDP

Australia’s Treasurer Wayne Swan said before a government report on gross domestic product this week that natural disasters in the nation probably cut more than 1 percentage point from economic growth in the first quarter.

Swan’s latest estimate was higher than one he made in April that put damage to GDP in the first quarter at 0.75 percentage point. The median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of economists is for a 0.3 percent contraction from the final three months of 2010.

Gains in New Zealand’s dollar were limited as its 10-day relative strength index versus the U.S. dollar rose to 70.23, above the level of 70 that suggests an asset’s price has risen too fast and is poised to reverse course.

“The kiwi’s recent rise was rapid,” said Takuya Kawabata, a researcher in Tokyo at Gaitame.com Research Institute Ltd., a unit of Japan’s largest currency margin company. “It’s not surprising to see some correction.”

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May 28, 2011

German Inflation Unexpectedly Eased in May as Price of Crude Oil Declined - Bloomberg

Filed under: legal, marketing — Tags: , , , — Sun @ 9:07 pm

Inflation in Germany, Europe’s largest economy, unexpectedly eased in May after oil prices dropped from a 2 1/2-year high.

The harmonized inflation rate fell to 2.4 percent from 2.7 percent in April, the Federal Statistics Office in Wiesbaden said today. Economists had expected inflation to hold at the highest level since September 2008, the median of 17 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey showed. On the month, consumer prices declined 0.2 percent.

Oil prices have dropped 11 percent this month after breaching $114 a barrel in April, leaving households with more money to spend. European Central Bank officials have signaled they are ready to raise borrowing costs further to curb price pressures after increasing the benchmark interest rate to 1.25 percent last month, even as peripheral nations such as Greece, Portugal and Ireland remain mired in a sovereign-debt crisis.

“Today’s German inflation numbers are just a temporary breather,” said Carsten Brzeski, an economist at ING Group in Brussels. “Obviously, with these inflation numbers, the ECB won’t hastily rush to a June hike. The German data is also not soft enough to put the ECB off from another hike in July.”

On a non-harmonized basis, inflation slowed to 2.3 percent in May from 2.4 percent and prices were unchanged on the month, the statistics office said.

Price Mandate

VCI, the main association of German chemical companies, on May 17 raised its forecast for production, sales and prices this year in the industry, on increasing global demand personal loan for poor credit.

“We have to avoid commodity-price increases becoming entrenched in longer-term inflation expectations, which could have second-round effects on wages and prices,” ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said yesterday. “We are carefully monitoring the situation and we stand ready to do whatever is necessary to fulfill our mandate.”

Euro-area inflation probably remained at 2.8 percent this month, according to the median of 27 forecasts in a Bloomberg survey. The European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg will publish the data on May 31. Economists in a separate survey forecast the ECB will raise its main lending rate to 1.75 percent by the end of the year.

The German economy grew 1.5 percent in the first quarter as companies boosted spending to meet increased export demand and construction rebounded from a slump in the previous three months. The government predicts growth of 2.6 percent this year after a record 3.6 percent expansion in 2010.

At the same time, countries from Greece to Portugal are struggling to grow amid a debt crisis that’s shaking the foundations of the single currency. The euro area will grow 1.6 percent this year after expanding 1.8 percent in 2010, the European Commission forecast this month.

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May 27, 2011

Gunmen kill Iraqi tasked with purging Saddamists

Filed under: Crisis, marketing — Tags: , , , — Sun @ 6:15 am

The head of a committee tasked with rooting out Iraqis with ties to Saddam Hussein’s deposed regime and who was once arrested for alleged ties to Shiite militias was shot to death late Thursday in Baghdad, officials said.

Ali al-Lami was a divisive figure in Iraqi politics who had close ties to neighboring Iran’s Shiite Muslim government and was known for the vigor with which he tried to root out Saddam-era loyalists from all levels of Iraqi government. He also ran afoul of the U.S. after he was implicated in a bombing that killed Americans.

His role last year in trying to oust hundreds of Sunni candidates from running in the parliamentary election due to alleged ties to the Saddam regime fueled criticism that Iraqi Shiites, backed by Iran, were trying to sideline Sunnis from power and threatened to re-ignite sectarian tensions.

Now he has become the latest victim of an assassination campaign across Baghdad and Iraq that has resulted in the deaths of tens of Iraqi political and governmental figures.

The top military spokesman for Baghdad, Maj. Gen. Qassim al-Moussawi, said gunmen opened fire and killed al-Lami as he was driving in his car in eastern Baghdad. His driver also died in the shooting, said two police officers.

Al-Lami racked up a long list of political enemies during his years on the Iraqi political scene. He was long suspected of having ties to Iran and Lebanon’s Hezbollah. He headed the Accountability and Justice Committee responsible tasked with vetting people trying to get government jobs or take political office for ties to Saddam Hussein’s Baath Party, which ruled Iraq for decades.

During last year’s parliamentary election, the committee tried to bar hundreds of candidates from taking part. Most were from the Sunni-backed Iraqiya bloc, which went on to win the most seats in the election.

The top American military commander in Iraq at the time, Gen. Ray Odierno, said al-Lami and Ahmed Chalabi, also a committee member, were influenced by Iran and had attended meetings of the Shiite regime there.

One of the committee’s targets was Saleh al-Mutlaq, who later became the deputy prime minister as part of lengthy negotiations to come up with a new government headed by Shiite Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki.

Speaking from Jordan, al-Mutlaq said he was shocked and saddened by al-Lami’s death.

“He is a human being, and he’s an Iraqi. I know him personally,” al-Mutlaq said, adding, “He was directed by the Iranian regime. He took orders.”

The deputy prime minister said it was too early to tell who was responsible for his death, but said: “Thousands of people are living in very bad conditions because they were hurt by this organization,” referring to the Accountability and Justice Committee.

For supporters and close friends of al-Lami, it was immediately clear who killed him. A spokesman for Chalabi said al-Lami was likely killed by Baath Party loyalists angry at his campaign against them.

“My first suspect would be the Baath party,” said Entifadh Qanbar. “I’m very sure that the Baathists hold a very huge grudge against him. … He got so many threats.”

Al-Lami was arrested by U.S. and Iraqi forces in 2008 for suspected ties to Iranian-backed Shiite militias, and was accused by U.S. officials at the time of being involved in a bombing that killed eight people, including two American soldiers and two State Department employees.

His arrest reinforced suspicions about Tehran’s influence within the Shiite-led Iraqi government.

Al-Lami’s death came on the same day that followers of anti-American cleric Muqtada al-Sadr staged a huge rally designed as a dramatic show of strength against any move to allow American forces to stay in Iraq past their Dec. 31 deadline.

Under an agreement between Washington and Baghdad, the 46,000 troops still in Iraq must leave by Dec. 31. Iraq’s widespread instability and still struggling security forces have led U.S. and Iraqi leaders to reconsider the deadline for the sake of the country’s security.

U.S. officials have been pushing Iraq to decide whether it wants some American forces to remain, and al-Maliki has said he’ll discuss it with the country’s main political blocs.

But the throngs on the street in Sadr City, a slum in eastern Baghdad that is an al-Sadr stronghold, was a stark warning to al-Maliki about what he risks if U.S. forces stay longer.

Tens of thousands of Shiite militiamen belonging to al-Sadr’s Mahdi Army militia and other supporters marched through the streets. Although unarmed, their matching T-shirts and caps and marching in unison evoked the spirit of a military parade rather than a political rally.

“I am asking for the withdrawal of the occupation. I am ready to fight from this moment. I am ready to sacrifice. I am ready for death,” said one marcher, 42-year-old Hussein Abu Lika.

The militia members waved Iraqi flags and shouted, “No, no, America!”

U.S., Israeli and British flags were painted on the pavement to be stomped on by the marching protesters, and Iraqi military helicopters buzzed overhead while soldiers stood guard.

Al-Sadr is one of the few, maybe only, Iraqi political leaders able to raise such a large crowd. Many of them are impoverished Shiites from southern Iraq and Baghdad who are drawn to his anti-American, nationalist rhetoric and his family’s deep roots in Iraqi political and religious life.

But to many Iraqis, al-Sadr and his Mahdi Army are little more than thugs blamed for some of the worst of the sectarian attacks during the insurgency.

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May 25, 2011

Square looks for end to cash payments

Filed under: Canada, legal — Tags: , , , — Sun @ 3:08 pm

SAN FRANCISCO

May 24, 2011

How to engage in the fine art of haggling

Filed under: legal, loans — Tags: , , , — Sun @ 12:15 am

In a Debenhams department store in Northern Ireland I was smitten with a dress by an Irish designer. It cost about $500 Canadian and buying it would have seriously stretched my travel budget. Still, I tried it on and fell in love with its cut and the way it hung. I knew if I bought it I

May 22, 2011

With car prices climbing, now might not be best time to buy

Filed under: Canada, economics — Tags: , , , — Sun @ 9:32 am

If you’re thinking of buying a car soon, here’s some advice: Don’t.

“If you can wait, wait,” says Jeremy Anwyl, CEO of Edmunds guaranteed pay day loans.com, the car-buying website.

The Japanese earthquake is raising prices and cutting selection

May 20, 2011

Europe demands to name next IMF head, US hesitates

Filed under: economics, technology — Tags: , , , — Sun @ 6:20 pm

European officials closed ranks Thursday to demand that the IMF’s next leader be one of their own, someone with the political savvy to handle the continent’s relentless debt crisis, but the U.S. balked at offering its immediate support.

Frenchman Dominique Strauss-Kahn, who has been widely praised for his leadership of the Intentional Monetary Fund and its involvement in solving Europe’s woes, resigned Wednesday to devote “all his energy” to fighting sexual assault charges in New York.

The move heated up simmering debate over his successor, with Europe staking its traditional claim to the post even as fast-growing nations like China and Brazil say it’s time to break that monopoly and seek an IMF chief from a developing nation. The IMF is empowered to direct billions of dollars to stabilize the global economy.

In Washington, where the IMF is based, U.S. Treasury chief Timothy Geithner said “We want to see an open process that leads to a prompt succession.”

Geithner’s statement was ambiguous and leaves open the possibility that the U.S., which has a major say in determining who will head the fund, could support a candidate from either group. Some analysts said the U.S. government will make its preference clearer behind the scenes while keeping a more impartial stance in public.

Hours after Strauss-Kahn’s resignation, everyone from the European Commission to the German chancellor to the French finance minister _ herself a potential candidate _ said the replacement should come from Europe. Not because of any tradition, they insisted, but because intimate knowledge of Europe’s debt crisis should be a critical element of any candidate’s portfolio.

“From a European point of view, it is essential that the appointment will be merit-based, where competence and economic and political experience play the key role,” said Olli Rehn, European Commissioner for Monetary and Economic Affairs. “And in this current juncture it is a merit if the person has quite solid knowledge of the European economy and decision making.”

There is no indication yet when a decision will be made. But a meeting of the G-8 _ a group of eight developed countries _ takes place next week in the seaside resort of Deauville, France, and all the major decision-makers will be there.

France’s Finance Minister Christine Lagarde has in recent days been touted in many European capitals as a good choice. A sharp, articulate negotiator, she has a strong international reputation and impeccable English after living in the United States for many years.

“I am convinced that she is a good candidate. I made a few trips with her to Asia. I was able to verify her popularity among ministers of large emerging countries,” France’s transport minister, Thierry Mariani, told France-Info radio Thursday.

Despite Lagarde’s popularity, Mariani was the first member of the French government to speak publicly about her as a candidate.

That’s partly because she is a member of French President Nicolas Sarkozy’s conservative UMP party, and if Sarkozy openly pushes for her candidacy, that could fuel the widespread belief in France that the accusations against Strauss-Kahn were part of a conspiracy to knock him off what appeared to be his march toward the French presidency.

Lagarde herself mentioned no names but said she too supported a European for the job.

“I’m a true European and I’m convinced that Europe is the way to go, as far as we are concerned,” she told reporters on a visit to a French supermarket. “I am a convinced European and I think that for such a candidacy, the Europeans must be united.”

In Berlin, German Chancellor Angela Merkel pushed for a rapid decision and underlined her hopes for another European. “It is of great significance, of course, that we find a quick solution.”

The IMF’s executive board released a letter from Strauss-Kahn on Wednesday in which he denied the allegations against him but said he felt he must resign to protect his family and the IMF.

Strauss-Kahn was back in court Thursday in New York for a bail hearing that could have spelled the end of his leadership of the IMF anyway. He faces charges of assaulting a maid in a New York hotel room and has been jailed in New York since Monday.

The IMF’s statement said the process of choosing a new leader would begin, but in the meantime John Lipsky would remain its acting managing director.

Lipsky said Thursday that he deeply regrets the circumstances that temporarily placed him in the top position.

Europeans have led the IMF since its inception after World War II. Americans have occupied both the No. 2 position at the IMF and the top post at its sister institution, the World Bank. The World Bank funds projects in developing countries.

Developing nations see Europe’s stranglehold on the position as increasingly out of touch with the world economy. China’s is now the world’s second largest economy. India’s and Brazil’s have cracked the top 10.

“We must establish meritocracy, so that the person leading the IMF is selected for their merits and not for being European,” Brazilian Finance Minister Guido Mantega said Wednesday.

Other potential European candidates include Germany’s former central bank chief, Axel Weber; the head of Europe’s bailout fund, Klaus Regling; and Peer Steinbrueck, a former German finance minister.

Candidates from elsewhere include Turkey’s former finance minister, Kemal Dervis; Singapore’s finance chief, Tharman Shanmugaratnam; and Indian economist Montek Singh Ahluwalia.

Source

May 19, 2011

Commodity rally sends stock indexes higher

Filed under: USA, finance — Tags: , , , — Sun @ 3:24 am

Widespread gains in commodity prices lifted energy and materials companies as part of a broad stock market rally. Stocks built on morning gains after the Federal Reserve released minutes that showed that officials at the central bank agreed that the economy is improving.

Oil gained nearly 4 percent to settle above $100 a barrel Wednesday. That sent energy companies like Chevron and Exxon Mobil Corp up nearly 2 percent.

The Dow Jones industrial average added 81 points, or 0.6 percent, to 12,560. The S&P 500 rose 12, or 0.9 percent, to 1,341. The Nasdaq composite gained 32, or 1.1 percent, to 2,815.

Four stocks rose for every one that fell on the New York Stock Exchange. Consolidated volume came to 3.5 billion shares.

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May 17, 2011

North County Inc. honors community leaders

Filed under: business, mortgage — Tags: , , , — Sun @ 12:40 pm

North County is seeing some positive developments.

That was the basic message delivered over ham and eggs to several hundred people at Friday’s 34th Annual Breakfast sponsored by North County Incorporated. NCI is a regional development group that is an advocate for the North County community.

“Over the past year, we have been considerably busy working on regional issues that will affect the North County area long term,” NCI President and CEO Rebecca Zoll said. “We want to show people that North County is a great place to live and work.”

NCI has partnered with Metro and the St. Louis County Economic Council on various issues. The group worked to pass the St. Louis County’s sales tax increase for more revenue for Metro and to reopen different bus routes, The organization also is pleased that the Missouri Department of Transportation has started a transportation study to find ways to improve the Interstate 270 Corridor from McDonnell Boulevard. Results will be made public in January 2012.

Other positive highlights include the future opening of the National Records and Archives Center in Spanish Lake. NCI also launched www.explorenorthstlouiscounty.com, a website that features North County’s parks and recreational opportunities, museums, historical sites, entertainment, art and festivals.

During the breakfast at the St. Louis Airport Marriott, the NCI honored various community leaders and business for their achievements.

The North County Suburban Journals was a sponsor of the breakfast.

 

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May 15, 2011

US businesses reluctant to open in Mexico

Filed under: Canada, Uncategorized — Tags: , , , — Sun @ 9:32 pm

Dozens of Mattel Inc. employees were on their way to another day of work making Power Wheels in Mexico’s industrial heartland when gunshots erupted around them and a grenade ripped into one of their buses, killing one worker and wounding five.

The battle between drug traffickers and the army near the city of Monterrey last week was the sort of violence that is frightening U.S. companies away from new investments south of the border, where organized criminals are increasingly turning to kidnappings, extortion and cargo thefts despite a government offensive against drug cartels.

“These acts of violence are not happening in a vacuum; they’re happening in the street that could be right out in front of your building. Bullets get shot and they have to stop somewhere,” said Dan Burges, a senior director at Freightwatch Inc., an Austin-based cargo security firm.

As a result, only half of the U.S. firms surveyed recently by the U.S.-Mexico Chamber of Commerce said they would go ahead with new investment plans in Mexico and several companies, including Whirlpool Corp., have recently announced they would put new factories elsewhere citing concerns about safety.

More than 35,000 people have died in drug-related violence since President Felipe Calderon deployed thousands of federal security forces four years ago to fight traffickers. In recent months, nearly 400 bodies have been pulled from mass graves in the northern states of Tamaulipas and Durango. There are near-daily reports of drug-gang executions, kidnappings and extortion.

The army said the Mattel workers were apparently caught in crossfire on May 6 when attackers believed to be working for the Zetas cartel assaulted a military convoy with guns and a grenade launcher from a highway overpass on the outskirts of Monterrey.

“The people of Mattel were shocked and incredibly saddened” by the attack, the company said in a statement released by spokesman Jules Andres.

But battles between government and cartel forces are increasingly common, and companies and their workers are inevitably affected.

One out of 10 companies reported kidnappings and 60 percent said their employees were beaten or threatened in 2010, according to the U.S.-Mexico Chamber of Commerce.

And cargo thefts from trucks and trains are rampant and soaring.

Cargo thefts cost businesses about $700 million last year, a 40 percent increase over the past three years, according to the National Multimodal Transport Alliance.

Entire trailer-loads of newly built cars were stolen this year along major highways in the states of Tamaulipas, Nuevo Leon, Morelos and Sinaloa. Some truck drivers refuse to drive through dangerous areas including Ciudad Juarez, where officials say criminals typically extort about $70 to pass without harm.

Increasingly, cargo thieves are stealing selectively, things like industrial chemicals or specially processed metals, at the request of specific clients, according to Mexico’s Freight and Auto Transport Association.

Businesses in Mexico factor in payments to organized crime syndicates as part of the cost of doing business. “It’s a well-known practice that many Mexican producers and shippers pay a certain percentage so they can get their goods through parts of Mexico without having them ripped off,” said a senior US official in Mexico, speaking on condition of anonymity because of security concerns.

Armed security escorts can now be seen rumbling en masse on Mexico’s northbound toll highways, some privately hired by corporations, others _ as in Coahuila state _ provided at no charge by the government. At the Panasonic plant in Tijuana, armed escorts stand by for daily deliveries, a 20 minute trip to the U.S. border.

So many steel rolls, steel plates, aluminum and copper have been stolen on the Monclova-Monterrey highway this year that some insurance companies are suspending insurance, according to Freightwatch. Despite the losses, most U.S. companies already operating in Mexico say they have no plans to leave a place with $3 an hour labor, lax environmental standards, tax incentives and a location conveniently close to the U.S. market.

“People think that everything in Mexico is a constant shootout, but that’s not the case,” said Keith Patridge, who promotes businesses on both sides of the border from the McAllen Foreign Trade Zone in the southernmost region of Texas.

Indeed, every day more than $1 billion worth of imports and exports cross the border, fueling hundreds of thousands of U.S. and Mexican jobs. More than 18,000 U.S. companies have operations in Mexico, including most of the Fortune 500.

But those figures could be higher, says Gabriel Casillas, J.P. Morgan’s chief economist for Mexico, who estimates that drug cartel-related crime lost Mexico $4 billion in foreign direct investment in 2010.

Patridge glances out his office window at three large flags of Mexico, Canada and the USA. Beyond them, across the street, the Department of Homeland Security’s new offices hold a weapon-packed armory, bulletproofed vehicles, lockers of seized drugs and holding cells filled with Mexicans who have been caught sneaking across the Rio Grande River. The border, for thousands of federal agents, is a barrier to be constantly protected and defended.

But for Patridge, and most business leaders in the area, the border is a river, fence or wall wending its way through what feels like a single community.

“We’re a city, a metropolitan area, that happens to span the border. The south side of our city happens to have labor that is among the most competitive in the world. The north side of town is the largest market in the world,” he says.

Years ago, Patridge helped between 20 and 30 U.S. firms a year set up manufacturing operations in Mexico. Last year he had five.

In El Paso, Texas, Bob Cooke runs a similar cross border chamber of commerce, promoting businesses in the U.S. and investment across the bridge in Ciudad Juarez, the most violent city in Mexico. But he said only one U.S. company opened up shop in Ciudad Juarez last year.

“We’re clearly not arguing that it’s business as usual, but it’s not as bad as the global perception either,” he said, complaining that because of the image, “We can’t even get companies to look there anymore.”

Security costs U.S. firms in Mexico as much as 2 percent of overall operating costs, according to the U.S.-Mexico Chamber of Commerce. But that is still a bargain compared to 7 percent in the U.S.

A.O.Smith, one of the world’s largest manufacturers of water heaters, has three plants in Mexico including one in Ciudad Juarez, and it has no plans to leave, said Kathy Neal, the company’s director of trade compliance.

“We have taken additional security precautions where warranted, as have most businesses operating in Mexico,” she said. “Many of our employees have been personally impacted by violence and crime in various ways. Mexico is a vibrant country with many talented and hardworking citizens. The current situation is tragic and we hope it will end soon.”

Indeed the more common businesses fleeing Mexico are the Mexican ones.

Thousands of south Texans used to meander over the 85-year-old McAllenHidalgoReynosa International Bridge spanning the Rio Grande to enjoy northern Mexico’s regional specialties: tender cabrito goat steaks, roasted wild bird, bowls of spicy chistora sausage floating in melted cheese.

Last year that changed when the dusty, cracked streets of Reynosa just south of McAllen, Texas, became a war zone for the Gulf and Zeta cartels. La Fogata restaurant owner Erasmo Vargas said customers stopped coming.

“Mexicans who live in Reynosa won’t go out after 6 p.m. and our customers, 85 percent of whom are Americans, won’t cross the border anymore,” said Vargas. “Our restaurant was safe, we’ve had no problems, but the community has become too violent.”

This month he opened a new La Fogata restaurant a few miles north, in McAllen, following about a dozen other popular restaurants into the area. On a recent afternoon, his posh Texas dining room was filled with well dressed Spanish-speaking customers dining on his famous roasted meats.

“It’s actually not all that different here,” said Vargas. “We can buy everything we need on this side of the border. It’s just more expensive.”

___

Associated Press Latin America Regional Editor Marjorie Miller and AP writer Eduardo Castillo in Mexico City contributed to this report.

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